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Michelle Powell

Wish I had a Crystal Ball

The first month of 2010 is down and out. I wish I had a crystal ball to determine what the market will look like in 2010. The truth is, I don't think anyone really knows.

The general consensus is that interest rates will remain stable until the middle of this year. I think that's so, but they may remain low for longer, depending on the ratio between the U.S. and Canadian dollar. If the Canadian dollar continues to be near to par with the U.S. dollar, the Bank of Canada is unlikely to want to raise rates. As well, the Bank of Canada aims to keep inflation at around 2% which has not yet materialized.

Part of the problem, I think, is that the slow recovery which is underway is difficult to measure due to the fact that it has been helped along by government stimulus. No one seems certain what will happen as governments withdraw stimulus?

At times like this, I try to stick to fundamentals:

Real Estate almost always makes money providing you can pick the time you sell.

Governmental debt is a generally bad thing and the U.S. government is amassing a huge deficit. Unfortunately, it doesn't really have a choice right now. As interest rates rise, so does the cost of servicing the country's debt, since governments must borrow money to finance their spending. This means the government has an interest in keeping rates down.

Households should not purchase real estate at their maximum ability to pay. In other words, don't buy a house you can afford at a 3.5% interest rate but couldn't carry at an 8% rate. Better to buy now and pretend rates are at 8% and use the extra money you have now to pay down household debt so that, when it is time to renew your mortgage, your household will be able to manage increases. If you borrow less, interest rates will not be such a worry.

If you're buying your first home, mitigate your expectations. Find ways to save money in the buying: buy a power of sale, buy a property that hasn't been renovated and renovate yourself. Buy the unrenovated home in the great location, rather than the renovated home in a less reliable neighbourhood. Granite countertops will not make you feel better when you are watching other neighbourhoods appreciate at a much better rate than the one you bought in.

I wish I could offer advice based on an absolute certainty about the economy in 2010, but I haven't got that crystal ball. The best advice I can give is the stick to the fundamentals.

Posted Sunday, February 07, 2010 12:44 PM by Michelle Powell | 0 Comments

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Why take an agent to new developments

Devil is in the details

Posted: 05 Oct 2009 08:07 PM PDT

Bob Aaron in Legal, Condo Buying Tips

Terry is a 23-year-old public servant, having recently graduated with a bachelor of commerce degree.  He is ready to buy his first home, and came to my office last month to review a 33-page offer prepared by the builder of the condominium tower where he wanted to live. As we sat down to go over the form, I explained that my function was to highlight the legal red flags in the agreement, and not to attempt to encourage or discourage him from buying the condominium.  By the time he left my office an hour later, Terry was thoroughly disillusioned.

"This is unbelievable," he told me. "I was lied to."

Terry thought he was buying a 665-square foot one-bedroom unit in a highrise tower for $267,500. It turns out that the agreement contained no guarantee of unit size and the price he would eventually have to pay for the unit was considerably higher than the price written on the first page of the offer.

Some of the nearly $20,000 in extras buried in the small print were:

 

Two months' common expenses for the reserve fund.

$1,500 + GST for the cost of utility meters and connection fees for water, gas and hydro service.

Estimated property taxes for the year of closing and the following year, even though the builder would not have to pay the taxes until the unit was assessed 18 to 24 months later.

The Tarion Warranty Corp. enrolment fee of $565

$100 for a status certificate and $52.50 for the builder's Law Society levy.

An unlimited amount for any new or increased municipal or school board levies imposed after July 1, 2009.

Unlimited amounts for any utility security deposits and administration fees.

A $175 administrative fee to hold Terry's deposit money in trust

The largest item, however, was buried in a paragraph of dense legalese, which makes the purchaser responsible for the provincial sales tax component of the new harmonized sales tax.

As I calculate it, this would add about $10,000 to the purchase price.

"This was never mentioned in the sales office," Terry told me.

Unfortunately, we still weren't finished.

Buried in the thick volume of disclosure materials and never mentioned in the sales office or the offer were two more zingers.

All of the unit owners are required to share in the cost of buying two guest suites at $121,000 each, plus three car share units at $28,000 each, for a total of $326,000.

Terry's share came to $1,085.50, repayable over 10 years, plus interest at 4 per cent over the Bank of Canada 10-year bond rate.

The unit purchasers are also responsible for a so-called Green Loan, which could be as much as $750,000 – or almost $2,500 for Terry's unit – plus interest for 10 years.

Terry told me that all of these extra charges were either never mentioned in the sales office, or he was told – incorrectly – that they were included in the purchase price.

To top it all off, the floor plans attached to the offer had no measurements and no guarantee of the size of the unit – allowing the builder to deliver a unit significantly smaller than what was promised to him in the sales room.

As he left my office, Terry sadly told me he was going to terminate the transaction.

"I don't feel comfortable in buying pre-construction anymore," he said.

Builders should be more "up front" with extra costs, he added.

Terry's experience points to three legislative changes that are badly needed in the process of buying new homes and condominium units:

All extra charges must be clearly set out in dollar amounts on the front page of any builder agreement.

Floor plans with measurements and square footage must be attached to every offer.

Every sales person representing builders must be a trained, licensed and insured real estate agent who would be responsible professionally and financially for misrepresentations made in sales offices.

Bob Aaron

Posted Wednesday, October 07, 2009 3:40 PM by Michelle Powell | 0 Comments

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Please feel free to ask me any real estate question and I will endeavour to answer within the week.
In real estate, not finding out what you don't know can cost you money!

Posted Friday, October 02, 2009 6:34 PM by Michelle Powell | 0 Comments

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